FORESIGHT AS A SPECIAL CHARACTERISTIC
OF COMPLEX SOCIAL SYSTEMS
Éva HidegFutures Studies Centre, Budapest University of Economic Sciences and Public Administration
Presented at CSNSS'03.
There is a great difference between ordinary and emergent complex systems [Funtowitz, S.O. and Ravetz, J.R.: Emergent Complex Systems. Futures 26(6), 568-582, 1994]. One of main differences is the foresight ability of emergent systems. This paper shows some methodological approaches to forecast the possible future behaviours of complex social systems.
futures studies, emergent, foresight, future orientation, evolutionary modelling
|ACM Categories and|
|J.4 [Computer Applications];|
Social and behavioral sciences – Sociology
Full paper as pdf version.